Posted on

July 23, 2023 MLB Baseball Betting Cards details:

No changes to model today. The value is there, just need to catch a lucky break where the card wins half the games or more.

I know I said yesterday it would be a rare occurence when games exceed the eROI cutoff, but again we have another one. This time it’s Colorado again this weekend in Miami, there is extreme value at +240 being offered as they have a shot at a road sweep.

  • Fanduel has been providing the big lines on underdogs this weekend as the other 4 books I use were spread between +210 & +230 on this game.
  • This averages out to +225 which translates to an eROI of 37%, placing the game just under the HOT! criteria cutoff of 40%.
  • This worked out yesterday as Baltimore held on to convert the Forced bet for 6 units.
    • Although I blame the odd decision for the team to trade for Fujinami as making it shakier than it needed to be. Fujinami has gone two straight so I really like the BAL bet today with him likely out of the picture today.

Current Missing Lines/Close Lines:

These are games missing lines currently or games that I’m looking to check back on as the best lines I’ve found so far are close to qualifying for a bet.

  • 7:00 PM | BOS +100 or NYM +170
  • 1:35 PM | SFG -104
  • 1:40 PM | ARI +100

LATE ADDITION:

None CARD IS FINAL, Last checked 1:15 PM

DAILY CARD:

*See Glossary for details to help explain terms and other recent model changes.

___________________________________

___

Leave a Reply