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August 4, 2023 MLB Baseball Betting Cards details:

No changes to the model today.

The losing streak continues. I tried to blow up the model, but nothing new was sticking that seemed like a better leap from the current model based on backtested data since May.

There is one small change I settled on that will wait until tomorrow’s card to be implemented as it’s inapplicable today. It involves Oakland as they’ve been the biggest bane this week dropping 3 bets this week against the Dodgers. And as luck would have it, they are part of the one pairing not playing today.

Key Data for today:

  • 14 available MLB games to bet today
  • Threshold of 4 games (25%) minimum will be bet

Last checked @ 4 AM

CARD is FINAL!

  • No missing games, first time in over a month where all are available overnight 👍
  • The threshold was not met betting qualified games alone. Only one game qualified today, as a result the implementation of STRETCH bets will make their debut.
    • Three additional STRETCH bets have been added to the card. These are next closest bets to qualify based on eROI.
  • The threshold of 4 games for the Daily card has been met.
  • The Round Robin will include all 4 games on today’s card.
    • A bet for 3 units total, pairs of 2s for 0.5 units each.

DAILY CARD:

ROUND ROBIN:

  • Bet: 3 units
  • Profit: -0.06 UNITS

Total Daily Results: +6.52 units

*See Glossary for details to help explain terms and other recent model changes.

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